Daniel Rester’s October Nomination Predictions for the 97th Oscars

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Awards season has slowed a little in October with the major festivals having passed and early voting for some critics bodies not happening until November. AFI Fest is happening right now though and keeping some of the films in the conversation. November, December, and January will be much busier for the season though.

Since my last predictions, The Life of Chuck has moved to a 2025 release. So that means for the first time in many years the TIFF People’s Choice winner won’t be competing at the Oscars. Supposedly Neon plans to push the film for awards next year though.

Blitz finally premiered in London earlier this month, and while most still think it will be a contender, many don’t see it as a potential winner in most categories. That changes a few of my winner predictions below as I was betting on it sight unseen between its ingredients and being a Steve McQueen film. It could gain more energy next month when it is released to the public though.

Gladiator II has had its first screenings and gained positive reviews. Many see Denzel Washington as a strong player in Supporting Actor now. We’ll see if it can keep up the momentum when it releases next month.

The only big question marks left at this time are A Complete Unknown and Nosferatu, which both don’t arrive until December. Some think Wicked might be a big player too, but I have less faith in it than those two aforementioned films, though it could crack into some crafts categories. I also believe The Substance and September 5 hype are just critic things and both won’t have much momentum with the major guilds and the Oscars.

As of now, this seems like a battle between The Brutalist and Anora for Best Picture, with Conclave and Emilia Perez both fighting for third place. I imagine the guilds favoring The Brutalist and Conclave, while critics will continue to go out for Anora and Emilia Perez. This could shake up some once different awards bodies start holding events though.

*** = my prediction for the winner in each category as of now.

TBD = to be determined.

Best Picture


Anora – Neon

Blitz – Apple Original Films

***The Brutalist – A24

A Complete Unknown – Searchlight Pictures

Conclave – Focus Features

Dune: Part Two – Warner Bros. Pictures

Emilia Pérez – Netflix

Gladiator II – Paramount Pictures

Nickel Boys – Amazon MGM Studios

Sing Sing – A24

Other Possibilities:

The Room Next Door – Sony Pictures Classics/Warner Bros. Pictures

Saturday Night – Sony Pictures Releasing

The Seed of the Sacred Fig – Neon

Best Director


***Brady Corbet – The Brutalist

Edward Berger – Conclave

Jacques Audiard – Emilia Pérez

Mohammad Rasoulof – The Seed of the Sacred Fig

Sean Baker – Anora

Other Possibilities:

Denis Villeneuve – Dune: Part Two

Ridley Scott – Gladiator II

Steve McQueen – Blitz

Best Actress


Angelina Jolie – Maria

***Mikey Madison – Anora

Nicole Kidman – Babygirl

Saoirse Ronan – The Outrun

Tilda Swinton – The Room Next Door

Other Possibilities:

Amy Adams – Nightbitch

Demi Moore – The Substance

Karla Sofía Gascón – Emilia Pérez

Best Actor


***Adrien Brody – The Brutalist

Colman Domingo – Sing Sing

Daniel Craig – Queer

Ralph Fiennes – Conclave

Timothée Chalamet – A Complete Unknown

Other Possibilities:

Gabriel LaBelle – Saturday Night

Paul Mescal – Gladiator II

Sebastian Stan – The Apprentice

Best Supporting Actress


Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor – Nickel Boys

Danielle Deadwyler – The Piano Lesson

Felicity Jones – The Brutalist

***Saoirse Ronan – Blitz

Zoe Saldana – Emilia Pérez

Other Possibilities:

Elle Fanning – A Complete Unknown

Isabella Rossellini – Conclave

Selena Gomez – Emilia Pérez

Best Supporting Actor


Clarence Maclin – Sing Sing

Denzel Washington – Gladiator II

***Guy Pearce – The Brutalist

Kieran Culkin – A Real Pain

Stanley Tucci – Conclave

Other Possibilities:

Edward Norton – A Complete Unknown

Jeremy Strong – The Apprentice

Mark Eydelshteyn – Anora

Best Original Screenplay


***Anora

The Brutalist

Challengers

A Real Pain

Saturday Night

Other Possibilities:

The Apprentice

Blitz

The Seed of the Sacred Fig

Best Adapted Screenplay


A Complete Unknown

***Conclave

Nickel Boys

The Room Next Door

Sing Sing

Other Possibilities:

Dune: Part Two

Emilia Pérez

The Piano Lesson

Best International Feature


***Emilia Pérez – France

The Girl with the Needle – Denmark

I’m Still Here – Brazil

The Seed of the Sacred Fig – Germany

Under the Volcano – Poland

Other Possibilities:

Grand Tour – Portugal

Kneecap – Ireland

Pedro Páramo – Mexico

Best Documentary Feature


The Brink of Dreams

Daughters

***No Other Land

The Remarkable Life of Ibelin

Sugarcane

Other Possibilities:

Dahomey

The Last of the Sea Women

A New Kind of Wilderness

Best Animated Feature


Flow

Inside Out 2

Memoir of a Snail

Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl

***The Wild Robot

Other Possibilities:

The Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim

Moana 2

The Most Precious of Cargoes

Best Cinematography


Blitz

***The Brutalist

Conclave

Emilia Pérez

Nickel Boys

Other Possibilities:

Dune: Part Two

Gladiator II

Maria

Best Editing


Anora

The Brutalist

***A Complete Unknown

Conclave

Emilia Pérez

Other Possibilities:

Blitz

Dune: Part Two

Gladiator II

Best Production Design


Blitz

The Brutalist

Dune: Part Two

***Gladiator II

Nosferatu

Other Possibilities:

Conclave

Joker: Folie à Deux

Wicked

Best Costume Design


Conclave

Dune: Part Two

***Gladiator II

Maria

Wicked

Other Possibilities:

The Brutalist

Blitz

Nosferatu

Best Makeup and Hairstyling


Beetlejuice Beetlejuice

Dune: Part Two

***Nosferatu

Sasquatch Sunset

Wicked

Other Possibilities:

Blitz

A Different Man

Joker: Folie à Deux

Best Visual Effects


Deadpool & Wolverine

***Dune: Part Two

Gladiator II

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes

Mufasa: The Lion King

Other Possibilities:

Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga

Twisters

Wicked

Best Sound


Blitz

***A Complete Unknown

Dune: Part Two

Emilia Pérez

Gladiator II

Other Possibilities:

Conclave

Joker: Folie à Deux

Twisters

Best Original Score


Blitz

***The Brutalist

Conclave

Gladiator II

Saturday Night

Other Possibilities:

Challengers

Sing Sing

The Wild Robot

Best Original Song


“Winter’s Coat” – Blitz

***“El Mal” – Emilia Pérez

“We’re Back” – Moana 2

“Like a Bird” – Sing Sing

“The Journey” – Six Triple Eight

Other Possibilities:

“El Camino” – Emilia Pérez

TBD – Mufasa: The Lion King

“Piece by Piece” – Piece by Piece

Best Animated Short Film


An Almost Christmas Story

Bug Diner

Hurikán

***In the Shadow of the Cypress

Percebes

Other Possibilities:

The Brown Dog

Silent Panorama

Wander to Wonder

Best Live Action Short Film


***The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent

The Masterpiece

An Orange from Jaffa

Ripe!

The Yellow

Other Possibilities:

Loser Baby

A Swim Lesson

An Urban Allegory

Best Documentary Short Film


Frank

Incident

***Makayla’s Voice: A Letter to the World

One Good Reason

The Turnaround

Other Possibilities:

Alok

Remember, Broken Crayons Colour Too

Wrecked a Bunch of Cars, Had a Good Time

Total Nomination and Win Counts:


The Brutalist – 10 nominations, 6 wins

Conclave – 9 nominations, 1 win

Emilia Pérez – 8 nominations, 2 wins

Gladiator II – 7 nominations, 2 wins

Blitz – 7 nominations, 1 win

Dune: Part Two – 6 nominations, 1 win

Anora – 5 nominations, 2 wins

A Complete Unknown – 5 nominations, 2 wins

Sing Sing – 5 nominations, 0 wins

Nickel Boys – 4 nominations, 0 wins

Nosferatu – 2 nominations, 1 win

Maria – 2 nominations, 0 wins

A Real Pain – 2 nominations, 0 wins

The Room Next Door – 2 nominations, 0 wins

Saturday Night – 2 nominations, 0 wins

The Seed of the Sacred Fig – 2 nominations, 0 wins

Wicked – 2 nominations, 0 wins

The Wild Robot – 1 nomination, 1 win

No Other Land – 1 nomination, 1 win

In the Shadow of the Cypress – 1 nomination, 1 win

The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent – 1 nomination, 1 win

Makayla’s Voice: A Letter to the World – 1 nomination, 1 win

The Outrun – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Babygirl – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Queer – 1 nomination, 0 wins

The Piano Lesson – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Challengers – 1 nomination, 0 wins

The Girl with the Needle – 1 nomination, 0 wins

I’m Still Here – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Under the Volcano – 1 nomination, 0 wins

The Brink of Dreams – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Daughters – 1 nomination, 0 wins

The Remarkable Life of Ibelin – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Sugarcane – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Flow – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Inside Out 2 – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Memoir of a Snail – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Beetlejuice Beetlejuice – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Sasquatch Sunset – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Deadpool & Wolverine – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Mufasa: The Lion King – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Moana 2 – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Six Triple Eight – 1 nomination, 0 wins

An Almost Christmas Story – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Bug Diner – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Hurikán – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Percebes – 1 nomination, 0 wins

The Masterpiece – 1 nomination, 0 wins

An Orange from Jaffa – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Ripe! – 1 nomination, 0 wins

The Yellow – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Frank – 1 nomination, 0 wins

Incident – 1 nomination, 0 wins

One Good Reason – 1 nomination, 0 wins

The Turnaround – 1 nomination, 0 wins

The post Daniel Rester’s October Nomination Predictions for the 97th Oscars appeared first on We Live Entertainment.
 
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